New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders Free Pick – September 15, 2024

Where: Northwest Stadium (Washington, D.C.)
When: Sunday, September 15th at 1:00 PM EST
Watch: FOX

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Washington Commanders -1.5
Over/Under: 43.0

Why Washington -1.5 is the Play:

Washington and New York Both Enter 0-1

Washington and New York both enter this Week 2 matchup at 0-1 after tough losses in their opening games. Washington’s defense gave up 37 points to the Buccaneers, while the Giants struggled to get anything going against Minnesota, managing just 6 points in a 28-6 loss. Both teams have a lot to clean up, but Washington’s home-field advantage and marginally better recent form make them the play here.

Washington’s Defensive Adjustments

Washington’s defense was shaky against the pass, allowing 280 passing yards to Tampa Bay. However, New York’s passing offense struggled as well, with Daniel Jones completing just 52.4% of his passes for 186 yards and 2 interceptions in Week 1. Washington’s ability to pressure Jones, combined with their more efficient ground game (138 rushing yards compared to the Giants’ 74), gives them the edge in this matchup.

Historical Trends Favor Washington

While New York has historically performed well against Washington, the Commanders' pass rush and improved run defense should help them hold their ground. Washington is more likely to limit New York’s offensive output and keep Daniel Jones in check.

Key Statistics

  • New York managed just 6 points in their opener, averaging 3.8 yards per play.
  • Washington had 138 rushing yards in Week 1, which will help control the pace of the game.
  • Daniel Jones threw 2 interceptions in Week 1 and was sacked multiple times, showing vulnerability against pass pressure.

Prediction

Washington has the home-field advantage, and with their run game and defensive line capable of pressuring Daniel Jones, they should be able to limit the Giants’ scoring opportunities. The spread of -1.5 feels conservative, and Washington should cover comfortably.

Final Score Prediction: Washington 23, New York 17 (Washington covers -1.5)


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