Kansas City Chiefs (17-2 SU, 9-10 ATS) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (17-3 SU, 13-7 ATS)
Date/Time: Sunday, February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM EST
Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: Fox
Betting Odds
Point Spread: Chiefs -1.5 / Eagles +1.5
Moneyline: Chiefs -125 / Eagles +105
Over/Under Total: 49
Game Preview: Chiefs Aim for Historic Three-Peat, Eagles Seek Redemption
Super Bowl LIX features a blockbuster rematch as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Philadelphia Eagles in New Orleans. These two teams were the best in the league all year, combining for a 34-5 record, including playoffs. The Chiefs punched their ticket with a thrilling 32-29 win over Buffalo in the AFC Championship, while the Eagles dismantled Washington 55-23 in the NFC title game.
Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are eyeing an unprecedented third straight Super Bowl win, but Jalen Hurts and Nick Sirianni are hungry for redemption after their 38-35 loss to Kansas City in Super Bowl LVII. Can the Chiefs cement their dynasty, or will Philadelphia finally get the job done? Let’s break it down.
Key Matchups & Analysis
Why the Chiefs Have the Edge
Mahomes is 14-6 ATS in the playoffs with an 85% SU win rate, making him one of the safest postseason bets in NFL history. The Chiefs' ability to perform in high-pressure moments is their biggest asset. Against Buffalo, their defense stepped up when it mattered, showing that KC can win even when the offense isn’t at full throttle.
Kansas City also has a knack for neutralizing opposing stars. If they contain Saquon Barkley and force Hurts into passing situations, their defense can take control. Travis Kelce remains a nightmare matchup, and Reid’s play-calling in big games is second to none.
Why the Eagles Can Win
The addition of Saquon Barkley gives Philadelphia a legitimate game-breaking back, which they lacked in last year’s Super Bowl loss. Hurts is still one of the league’s most dynamic dual-threat quarterbacks, and the Eagles’ offensive line is elite.
Philly’s defense will be key—they rank among the top in red-zone efficiency and third-down stops. In their last Super Bowl meeting, Hurts put up over 300 yards passing and three rushing TDs. If he plays at that level again and the Eagles' defense steps up, they have a real shot at dethroning the champs.
Betting Prediction: Chiefs to Cover the Small Spread
With two elite teams on the field, this game is a true toss-up. However, history shows that betting against Mahomes in the playoffs is a bad idea. The Chiefs have an uncanny ability to find ways to win, and their late-game execution gives them the edge.
The Eagles will make this a fight, but Kansas City's experience and coaching advantage will be the difference. Philadelphia needs a flawless game to pull off the upset, but when it comes down to crunch time, Mahomes and Reid are still the safer bet.
Final Score Prediction: Chiefs 27, Eagles 24
Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs -1.5
