NFL 2024 Season Team Win Totals


NFL 2024 Season Team Win Totals

The NFL offseason is well underway, and with it comes plenty of speculation surrounding how teams will fare in the upcoming season. With roster changes, new coaching hires, and player development all factoring into the equation, sportsbooks have set win totals for every team. These over/under projections give us an idea of what the oddsmakers expect in terms of performance for each team this season.

Below is a breakdown of the 2024 NFL team win totals, including each team’s current narrative, analysis of their chances to meet or exceed their projected win totals, and a betting edge to consider for both sides of the bet.

Arizona Cardinals: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

  • Current Narrative: Arizona is coming off back-to-back 4-13 seasons, and surpassing 7.5 wins would mark a notable improvement.
  • Analysis: The team has a lot of rebuilding to do, particularly in finding consistency on offense and defense. Improvement is possible, but a significant jump in wins may depend on new coaching strategies and quarterback health.
  • Betting Edge: Given their recent history, the under might appear more favorable unless key players or system upgrades dramatically change the team’s trajectory.

Atlanta Falcons: Over/Under 9.5 (+132)

  • Current Narrative: The addition of veteran QB Kirk Cousins aims to elevate the Falcons' playoff chances and secure the NFC South.
  • Analysis: Atlanta had a competitive 2023 season, but Cousins brings more stability to the offense. However, a 9.5 win total signals expectations of a playoff push in a winnable division.
  • Betting Edge: At +132, there’s value in betting the over if Cousins adjusts quickly, though any defensive vulnerabilities might keep them under.

Baltimore Ravens: Over/Under 11.5 (+122)

  • Current Narrative: The Ravens' core remains strong, with Derrick Henry added to bolster the run game, solidifying their status as an AFC contender.
  • Analysis: Baltimore has a solid defense and Lamar Jackson leading the offense. However, the high win total reflects AFC competitiveness. Derrick Henry’s addition could make the Ravens an even bigger threat.
  • Betting Edge: The over at +122 is tempting for a team built to win, but consistency and health will be key factors.

Buffalo Bills: Over/Under 10.5 (+134)

  • Current Narrative: Departures of key players like Stefon Diggs and Tre’Davious White raise questions about Buffalo's ability to remain atop the AFC East.
  • Analysis: Despite these losses, Josh Allen and the remaining roster are strong. However, hitting 11 wins might require younger players stepping up.
  • Betting Edge: The plus odds on the over make it appealing, but the depth concerns could tilt the scales toward the under.

Carolina Panthers: Over/Under 4.5 (-118)

  • Current Narrative: After a tough season, Carolina focuses on improving protection for Bryce Young in his second year.
  • Analysis: Young has talent, but the low win total suggests oddsmakers doubt Carolina’s ability to pull off many upsets this year. Their offensive line and team depth are areas of concern.
  • Betting Edge: Given the lowest win total on the board, the under may hold unless the young core gels faster than expected.

Chicago Bears: Over/Under 8.5 (-142)

  • Current Narrative: Justin Fields' tenure has ended, and now it’s Caleb Williams’ turn to lead the Bears.
  • Analysis: Chicago is banking on their new QB, but that high win total seems aggressive for a team likely in a rebuilding phase.
  • Betting Edge: With the uncertainty surrounding Williams’ transition to the NFL, betting the under might feel safer.

Cincinnati Bengals: Over/Under 10.5 (-115)

  • Current Narrative: A healthy Joe Burrow puts the Bengals right back in the mix for AFC North dominance.
  • Analysis: The Bengals’ offensive firepower remains intact, and Burrow’s health is the key. Given how competitive the AFC is, 11 wins is realistic but not guaranteed.
  • Betting Edge: The even line (-115) reflects confidence in Burrow, but the under might be worth exploring in a tough division.

Cleveland Browns: Over/Under 7.5 (-130)

  • Current Narrative: Deshaun Watson is healthy again, but questions linger over whether he can return to elite form post-shoulder surgery.
  • Analysis: The Browns have been inconsistent, and Watson needs to prove himself again. 8 wins seems possible, but far from guaranteed.
  • Betting Edge: The juice on the under reflects skepticism, and rightly so.

Dallas Cowboys: Over/Under 10.5 (-102)

  • Current Narrative: Despite a 12-5 record in recent years, the Cowboys haven’t made major offseason moves.
  • Analysis: Dallas has the talent to win, but without significant additions, they might not hit the over this season.
  • Betting Edge: Near-even odds on both sides suggest some lean toward the under.

Denver Broncos: Over/Under 5.5 (+120)

  • Current Narrative: Post-Russell Wilson, the Broncos are in full rebuild mode with Sean Payton at the helm.
  • Analysis: Denver is starting fresh, and low expectations are warranted. Hitting 6 wins is possible, but they’ll need to outperform projections.
  • Betting Edge: Plus odds make the over tempting, but it depends on whether Payton’s new system works right away.

Detroit Lions: Over/Under 10.5 (-128)

  • Current Narrative: After a 12-win season and a trip to the NFC Championship, the Lions are officially one of the NFL’s elite.
  • Analysis: Detroit has a balanced offense and a rising defense. Hitting 11 wins is certainly within reach given their roster and the state of their division.
  • Betting Edge: The odds lean toward the over, but there’s little room for error in a competitive NFC. If the Lions keep their momentum, the over feels justified.

Green Bay Packers: Over/Under 9.5 (+110)

  • Current Narrative: Jordan Love is set to lead the Packers after their 9-win season, which included a playoff upset over the Cowboys.
  • Analysis: Love showed flashes, but the team still has question marks on both sides of the ball. Their 9.5 win total reflects optimism but is far from guaranteed.
  • Betting Edge: At +110, the over offers some value, but Love’s consistency is key. A conservative play might favor the under.

Houston Texans: Over/Under 9.5 (+110)

  • Current Narrative: C.J. Stroud established himself as the Texans' franchise QB during his rookie campaign, and now Houston eyes the AFC South crown.
  • Analysis: Stroud’s quick development, combined with a much-improved roster, gives the Texans legitimate hopes to hit double-digit wins.
  • Betting Edge: With plus odds on the over, there's value here if Stroud and the Texans maintain their upward trajectory. However, competition in the division could make the under a safer bet.

Indianapolis Colts: Over/Under 8.5 (-144)

  • Current Narrative: Anthony Richardson returns from injury to lead the Colts, with the team hopeful he can take them to a winning record.
  • Analysis: Richardson’s potential is high, but his injury history and inexperience make the Colts' win total seem a bit ambitious.
  • Betting Edge: The heavy juice on the under reflects some skepticism, and while the upside is there, betting the over is a risky proposition.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

  • Current Narrative: Jacksonville looks to improve on their 9-8 record from last season, with an active offseason and playoff ambitions.
  • Analysis: Trevor Lawrence continues to develop, and the Jaguars have upgraded both sides of the ball. A second straight playoff berth looks feasible.
  • Betting Edge: A balanced line (-110) suggests equal potential for over and under, but if Lawrence continues his ascent, the over is the more likely outcome.

Kansas City Chiefs: Over/Under 11.5 (+100)

  • Current Narrative: The defending Super Bowl champions have Patrick Mahomes at the helm and remain one of the NFL’s elite.
  • Analysis: The Chiefs are perennial contenders, and Mahomes’ magic gives them a solid chance to hit 12 wins or more. However, AFC competition is fierce.
  • Betting Edge: Even money on the over is attractive for a team like Kansas City, but betting the under might appeal to those expecting some regression.

Las Vegas Raiders: Over/Under 6.5 (+118)

  • Current Narrative: The Raiders continue to struggle without a clear franchise QB, reflected in their modest win total.
  • Analysis: Without a stable quarterback situation, it's hard to expect a major improvement from last season’s struggles.
  • Betting Edge: Plus odds on the over are intriguing, but unless the Raiders find their long-term QB, the under seems more likely.

LA Chargers: Over/Under 8.5 (+110)

  • Current Narrative: Jim Harbaugh takes over as head coach after leading Michigan to a national title, but the Chargers have seen several key offensive players depart.
  • Analysis: Harbaugh’s presence might stabilize the Chargers, but replacing lost talent could make 9 wins a difficult target.
  • Betting Edge: The over offers decent value at +110, but with major roster changes, betting the under could be safer.

LA Rams: Over/Under 8.5 (+102)

  • Current Narrative: The Rams still boast star power, but health concerns could dictate whether they hit the over.
  • Analysis: If Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp, and Aaron Donald can stay on the field, the Rams have the talent to exceed expectations.
  • Betting Edge: The near-even odds on both sides reflect the uncertainty. Betting on the over hinges on the team’s ability to stay healthy.

Miami Dolphins: Over/Under 9.5 (+118)

  • Current Narrative: As long as Tua Tagovailoa stays healthy, the Dolphins are expected to contend for the AFC East title.
  • Analysis: The Dolphins have plenty of offensive firepower, but Tua’s durability is the key factor in reaching 10 wins or more.
  • Betting Edge: The plus odds on the over make it appealing if you believe Tua can stay on the field. Otherwise, the under looks safer.

Minnesota Vikings: Over/Under 6.5 (+118)

  • Current Narrative: Rookie QB J.J. McCarthy and Justin Jefferson will look to build chemistry early, with hopes of surpassing the 6.5-win mark.
  • Analysis: Minnesota is entering a transition period with a rookie QB, but Jefferson is a game-changer. If McCarthy can develop quickly, they could surprise.
  • Betting Edge: The plus odds on the over could be worth the risk, though the under is the safer bet in a challenging NFC North.

New England Patriots: Over/Under 5.5 (-142)

  • Current Narrative: The Patriots have entered a rebuilding phase post-Belichick, with rookie QB Drake Maye leading the charge.
  • Analysis: New England’s low win total reflects the uncertainty surrounding a rookie-led offense and a rebuilding defense.
  • Betting Edge: The heavy juice on the under makes it clear where the public sentiment lies. Betting on the over requires faith in Maye’s quick development.

New Orleans Saints: Over/Under 7.5 (+106)

  • Current Narrative: The Saints have had a quiet offseason, and sportsbooks aren’t expecting much from them in 2024.
  • Analysis: The Saints lack significant upgrades, but they could still hover around 8 wins with their current roster.
  • Betting Edge: With plus odds on the over, it might be worth a gamble, but the under is more realistic given their offseason inactivity.

New York Giants: Over/Under 6.5 (+116)

  • Current Narrative: The Giants still have uncertainty surrounding Daniel Jones and whether he can prove himself as a franchise QB.
  • Analysis: New York's offense has struggled to find consistency, and this win total reflects those concerns. They play in a tough NFC East, which could limit their upside.
  • Betting Edge: The over provides some value, but betting the under may be safer unless Jones makes a leap this season.

New York Jets: Over/Under 9.5 (-115)

  • Current Narrative: The Jets’ season hinges on the health and performance of Aaron Rodgers as he looks to lead the team to a winning season.
  • Analysis: Rodgers provides a huge upgrade at quarterback, but injuries and age are concerns. A talented defense gives the Jets a solid foundation, but the offense will need to gel quickly.
  • Betting Edge: Near even odds make both sides viable, but betting the over is more appealing if you trust Rodgers' ability to elevate the team.

Philadelphia Eagles: Over/Under 10.5 (-118)

  • Current Narrative: The Eagles are looking to rebound after a disappointing end to last season, now featuring new running back Saquon Barkley.
  • Analysis: Philadelphia’s roster remains among the NFL’s best, and Barkley adds another weapon to the offense. With strong talent on both sides of the ball, 11 wins seems attainable.
  • Betting Edge: Given the strength of the team, the over seems more likely, but divisional challenges could make hitting 11 wins a tough ask.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Over/Under 7.5 (+138)

  • Current Narrative: Despite Russell Wilson taking over at QB, the Steelers have the lowest projected win total in the competitive AFC North.
  • Analysis: Wilson's struggles in recent years raise questions about his fit in Pittsburgh’s system, and the tough division makes it hard to see them exceeding expectations.
  • Betting Edge: With plus odds on the over, there’s some value if Wilson can bounce back, but betting the under might feel safer given recent history.

San Francisco 49ers: Over/Under 11.5 (+100)

  • Current Narrative: The defending NFC champions are one of the most well-rounded teams in the NFL, and their 11.5 win total reflects their elite talent.
  • Analysis: San Francisco boasts top-tier players on both sides of the ball, making them legitimate contenders to exceed 11 wins. Their division and schedule could provide enough winnable games to hit the over.
  • Betting Edge: With even money on the over, there's value in trusting the 49ers' consistency. However, the under could be in play if injuries strike key players.

Seattle Seahawks: Over/Under 7.5 (+104)

  • Current Narrative: After parting ways with longtime head coach Pete Carroll, the Seahawks are entering a new era and resetting their approach.
  • Analysis: Seattle still has talent, but the team’s future without Carroll is uncertain. A younger roster will need time to develop, and 8 wins may be a challenge without experienced leadership.
  • Betting Edge: The plus odds on the over are appealing for optimists, but the under feels like the more cautious play given the overhaul.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over/Under 7.5 (+116)

  • Current Narrative: Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans return following a 9-8 season in which Tampa Bay upset the Eagles in the Wild Card round.
  • Analysis: The Bucs still have a solid core, but Mayfield’s inconsistency makes it hard to predict whether they can surpass 7.5 wins. Their division gives them a chance, but the offense needs to click.
  • Betting Edge: The plus odds on the over present good value, especially in a weak NFC South, but the under might be the safer route given Mayfield’s track record.

Tennessee Titans: Over/Under 6.5 (+110)

  • Current Narrative: With Derrick Henry gone, the Titans are expected to hover around the 6-win mark as they retool their offense.
  • Analysis: Tennessee has relied heavily on Henry in recent years, and without him, the offense could struggle to find a new identity. Their defense is still strong, but overall team performance is likely to take a step back.
  • Betting Edge: At +110, the over holds some appeal if the team finds a new offensive rhythm, but the under feels like a safer bet given the roster turnover.

Washington Commanders: Over/Under 6.5 (-105)

  • Current Narrative: Washington drafted LSU QB Jayden Daniels with the No. 2 overall pick, and head coach Dan Quinn begins another rebuilding project.
  • Analysis: The Commanders have talent on defense, but their success will largely depend on how quickly Daniels can adapt to the NFL. With a tough schedule, 7 wins could be a stretch.
  • Betting Edge: With near-even odds, both sides are worth considering, but the under might be more realistic as the team goes through growing pains with a rookie QB.


SAVE BIG MONEY BY BETTING AT -105 REDUCED ODDS!
Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
DOCS

NFL Betting

Reduced Juice – Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.

What is a Point Spread? – Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.

Football Bets – All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.

What Professional Handicappers Do – Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!

Key Numbers – The article that bookies don’t want you to read!

NFL Betting Quiz – Test your football wagering prowess with Loot’s 10 question quiz!

Super Bowl 52 Predictions – Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win “the big game” along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!

NFL Season Wins Predictions – Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they’ll do vs. the number!

NFL Bye Weeks – The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11.

NFL Coaching Changes – We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don’t win. Check out who went where right here!

Misc.

Famous Football Players – Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.

Greatest NFL Players of All Time – A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it’s own dedicated article!

Best Quarterbacks of All Time – Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB’s, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.

Best Running Backs of All Time – We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.

Football Lingo – One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!

Football Quotes – Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.