Where: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, MN)
When: Sunday, September 15th at 1:00 PM EST
Watch: FOX
Betting Odds
Point Spread: San Francisco 49ers -5.5
Over/Under: 46.0
Why the Under is the Play:
Defensive Clamps on Both Sides
San Francisco held the Jets to 19 points in Week 1, allowing just 198 passing yards. Minnesota’s defense was even more suffocating, giving up only 166 passing yards and holding the Giants to just 6 points. With both defenses showing the ability to shut down passing attacks, this game sets up as a defensive battle.
QB Pressure & Mistake-Free Football
Both teams excel at pressuring the quarterback, with Minnesota recording 5 sacks in Week 1 and San Francisco adding 3 of their own. Neither team threw an interception last week, further suggesting that this game will be a methodical, low-risk affair, limiting the chances for quick points off turnovers.
Pace of Play & Conservative Offense
San Francisco will likely lean on their ground game, which totaled 180 rushing yards in Week 1. Minnesota, having allowed only 74 rushing yards to the Giants, will look to contain the 49ers' running attack. With both teams aiming to control the clock, the pace of play should remain slow, further supporting the Under.
Trends & Line Movement
- The total has gone under in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games against San Francisco.
- The total has gone under in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings in Minnesota.
- San Francisco is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games when playing in Minnesota, favoring a low-scoring, defensive struggle.
Prediction
This game is likely to be decided by the defenses, with neither team lighting up the scoreboard. San Francisco’s methodical offense and Minnesota’s stingy defense should keep points at a premium. Expect a low-scoring contest that stays well under the total of 46.
Final Score Prediction: 49ers 23, Vikings 17 (Under 46)