Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview | NFL Week 17

Betting Odds

Point Spread: DEN +3.5 / CIN -3.5

Money Line: DEN +155 / CIN -180

Over/Under Total: 50

Game Overview

Both teams are fighting for their postseason lives, albeit from different positions. Denver’s path to the playoffs is simpler: win one of their final two games, and they’re in. Cincinnati, on the other hand, needs to win out and hope for help, making this game a do-or-die scenario for them.

Denver Broncos:

Despite their stumble last week, the Broncos have consistently performed well against the spread (11-4 ATS). Rookie QB Bo Nix has settled into the offense, showing poise and an ability to deliver in key moments. Denver’s defense remains formidable, while the offense has quietly improved, averaging 33 points per game over their last five contests. With weapons like Courtland Sutton and a growing ground game featuring Audric Estime and Javonte Williams, the Broncos are a balanced, resilient squad.

Cincinnati Bengals:

The Bengals have finally found a groove after a shaky start. Joe Burrow is back to form, connecting with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins for explosive plays. Rookie RB Chase Brown has added versatility to the offense. However, Cincinnati’s defense, despite recent improvement, remains suspect, allowing 113 points in a three-game stretch earlier this season. Their recent success against weaker offenses may not hold up against a confident Denver attack.

Key Matchups and Analysis

1. Denver Offense vs. Cincinnati Defense: The Broncos' methodical offense, spearheaded by Nix, has been efficient, if unspectacular. Cincinnati’s defense, while showing signs of improvement, still struggles against the run and in red-zone efficiency. Denver’s balanced attack could exploit these vulnerabilities.
2. Cincinnati’s Playmakers vs. Denver’s Secondary: Burrow and his top-tier receiving corps will test Denver’s stout secondary. While the Broncos have been strong against the pass, they’ll need to account for Chase’s big-play ability and Higgins’ size in contested situations.
3. Coaching and Situational Factors: Both teams are under immense pressure, but Denver’s coaching staff has consistently put the team in position to succeed in high-leverage situations. Cincinnati, while talented, has been prone to costly mistakes in critical moments.

Betting Pick and Rationale

The Broncos are the more consistent team and have been reliable for bettors all season. With a defense capable of containing Cincinnati’s offense and a rising QB in Bo Nix, Denver is poised to keep this game close, if not win outright. Cincinnati’s desperation may push them to take risks, which could backfire against a disciplined Broncos squad.

Pick: Denver Broncos +3.5

Prediction: Denver 27, Cincinnati 24