New England Patriots vs. New York Jets: Why the Under 37.5 is the Smart Play

Where: Met Life Stadium
When:Thursday, September 19,. 2024, 8:15pm
Watch: NBC

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Jets -6
Over/Under: 37.5

The Patriots and Jets meet on Thursday night, and with New England’s offensive line banged up and a conservative game plan likely in store, betting on the Under 37.5 total points could be the best move.

1. New England’s Offensive Line is Battered

The Patriots enter this game with every single starting offensive lineman carrying a questionable status. That spells trouble for their already conservative offense, which has struggled to score points through two games. Even if a few linemen play, they’ll be far from 100%, which could mean quick throws, short yardage plays, and more punts. Jacoby Brissett won’t have time to stretch the field, leading to a slow, methodical approach.

2. Thursday Night Football = Vanilla Game Plan

Thursday games tend to favor simple game plans due to the short turnaround. Expect both teams to focus on running the ball, controlling the clock, and limiting mistakes. The Jets and Patriots both have tendencies to play conservatively in these situations, which reduces the chances of a high-scoring shootout. It’s not just a trend—it’s a reality of Thursday Night Football.

3. Both Teams Have a History of Low Scoring

These two teams have consistently played low-scoring games. In fact, seven of their last eight matchups at MetLife Stadium have gone under the total. Recent scores like 17-3, 15-10, and 10-3 suggest that another low-scoring game is highly probable. Neither team is known for explosive offense, and history tells us this game could be another slog.

4. New England’s Defense is Still a Strength

New England’s defense has been strong this season, allowing just 16.5 points per game. Despite a beat-up offense, their defense has managed to keep games close, forcing opponents to grind out long drives without giving up big plays. The Jets’ offense, while improved, is unlikely to break this defense down consistently.

5. Jets’ Offensive Inconsistency and Turnovers

The Jets have shown flashes of offensive potential but have struggled with consistency. They've turned the ball over three times in two games and are prone to mistakes against disciplined defenses like New England’s. If New York can’t finish drives, this game could easily stay under the 37.5-point mark.

Conclusion: The Under is the Play

Between New England’s injuries, the Thursday night factor, and the history of low-scoring matchups between these teams, the Under 37.5 looks like the smart bet. Expect punts, field goals, and clock-chewing drives that keep the total under control.


CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP & GRAB a $500 PROMO CODE!

SAVE BIG MONEY BY BETTING AT -105 REDUCED ODDS!
Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
DOCS

NFL Betting

Reduced Juice – Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.

What is a Point Spread? – Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.

Football Bets – All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.

What Professional Handicappers Do – Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!

Key Numbers – The article that bookies don’t want you to read!

NFL Betting Quiz – Test your football wagering prowess with Loot’s 10 question quiz!

Super Bowl 52 Predictions – Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win “the big game” along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!

NFL Season Wins Predictions – Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they’ll do vs. the number!

NFL Bye Weeks – The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11.

NFL Coaching Changes – We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don’t win. Check out who went where right here!

Misc.

Famous Football Players – Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.

Greatest NFL Players of All Time – A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it’s own dedicated article!

Best Quarterbacks of All Time – Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB’s, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.

Best Running Backs of All Time – We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.

Football Lingo – One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!

Football Quotes – Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.