The Miami Dolphins (2-4) host the Arizona Cardinals (3-4) at Hard Rock Stadium on October 27, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET. The Dolphins, who are favored by 3.5 points, welcome back quarterback Tua Tagovailoa after a multi-game absence. Miami’s passing game has struggled in his absence, but Tua’s return should reignite their aerial attack, and they’ll look to capitalize against an Arizona defense that has shown weaknesses, especially against the pass. Below, we provide reasons why Miami should cover the -3.5 spread in this matchup.
Game Details
- Teams: Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals
- Week: Week 8
- Date: October 27, 2024
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Betting Odds
Point Spread: Miami -3.5 (-105) | Arizona +4.0 (-125)
Moneyline: Miami -185 | Arizona +150
Total (Over/Under): 45.0 (O -120 | U -110)
Reasons Why Miami Should Cover the Spread
1. Tua Tagovailoa’s Return
The biggest reason to back the Dolphins is the return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Miami’s passing game has struggled without him, failing to surpass 179 passing yards in any of the four games during his absence. Tua’s ability to stretch the field and find key targets like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should greatly improve the team’s offensive production. Arizona’s pass defense, which allows 181 yards per game, could struggle to contain Miami’s rejuvenated passing attack.
2. Miami’s Strong Defensive Matchup
Miami’s defense has been a bright spot, ranking 4th in the league in total yards allowed (285.2 per game) and 1st against the pass, allowing just 154.5 passing yards per game. Arizona’s offense, led by Kyler Murray, ranks 25th in passing yards per game (180.6), meaning the Dolphins’ defense should be able to contain the Cardinals’ aerial attack. This will put pressure on Arizona’s run game, but Miami’s defense has also held up well against the rush, making it hard for Arizona to find success.
3. Miami’s Home Advantage
Playing at Hard Rock Stadium gives Miami a notable home-field advantage. While their overall record doesn’t reflect it, the Dolphins have been competitive at home and will be looking to capitalize on favorable conditions in front of their home crowd. With the boost from Tua’s return, Miami is well-positioned to cover the spread, particularly with Arizona traveling across the country for an early game.
4. Arizona’s Offensive Struggles
Arizona has been inconsistent on offense, averaging only 21.4 points per game. They have struggled to move the ball through the air, and their quarterback, Kyler Murray, has not been able to consistently produce big plays. Murray’s performance has been uneven, with a passer rating of just 93.2, which is unlikely to improve against Miami’s top-tier pass defense. This will make it difficult for Arizona to keep pace with a Miami team getting their starting quarterback back in the lineup.
5. Miami’s Rushing Attack Should Complement the Passing Game
With Tua back under center, Miami’s rushing attack should see fewer stacked boxes from opposing defenses, allowing more room for running backs Raheem Mostert and De'Von Achane. Arizona’s defense ranks 17th against the run, allowing 130.7 rushing yards per game, meaning Miami’s offense could find balance and consistency between the air and ground attacks, increasing their chances of covering the spread.
With Tua’s return, a strong home-field advantage, and Arizona’s struggles on offense, Miami is well-positioned to cover the -3.5 point spread in this Week 8 matchup.
Pick: Take the Dolphins -3.5