Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview | NFC Championship 2025


Game Details

Washington Commanders (12-5 SU, 12-6-1 ATS) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (14-3 SU, 12-7 ATS)

NFC Championship Game

Date/Time: Sunday, January 26, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

TV: FOX

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Eagles -6.5 / Commanders +6.5

Moneyline: Eagles -295 / Commanders +240

Over/Under Total: 47.5

Philadelphia opens as a 6.5-point home favorite with a total set at 47.5. This sets the stage for an intriguing NFC East battle, with the Commanders surging offensively and the Eagles leaning on their league-best defense.

Game Overview

The Washington Commanders enter this matchup on a tear, winning seven of their last eight games straight up (SU) while covering the spread (ATS) in five of those contests. They’re coming off a 45-31 dismantling of the Detroit Lions, showcasing quarterback Jayden Daniels’ versatility and the team’s relentless no-huddle offense. Washington’s tempo has been their X-factor, leading the NFL in no-huddle usage (61%) while pairing it with an explosive ground game, averaging 5.4 yards per carry.

Philadelphia, meanwhile, survived a scare last week, holding off the Los Angeles Rams in a 27-20 NFC Divisional win. The Eagles' top-ranked defense allowed 291 passing yards, struggling late against the Rams’ up-tempo attack. This vulnerability is noteworthy as they face a Washington team excelling in similar circumstances.

The Commanders handed the Eagles one of their three losses this season in Week 16, a 36-33 shootout. Washington piled up 255 passing yards in that game, the second-most Philadelphia allowed all year, and scored five touchdowns. The Commanders’ ability to replicate this formula is key to keeping pace with the Eagles.

Key Matchups and Analysis

Washington’s No-Huddle Offense vs. Philadelphia’s Defense

Washington’s up-tempo approach will test an Eagles defense that has shown cracks against hurry-up offenses. The Eagles allowed 291 passing yards to the Rams last week, much of it coming in the no-huddle late in the game. Jayden Daniels (7.3 yards per attempt, 14 TDs, 3 INTs) has thrived when operating quickly, and Washington’s rushing attack, led by Brian Robinson Jr. (5.2 YPC), creates balance.

Philadelphia’s Rushing Attack vs. Washington’s Run Defense

The Eagles boast the league’s second-best rushing offense, averaging 184.3 yards per game and 5.1 yards per carry. Jalen Hurts and their dynamic offensive line will test a Washington defense ranked 30th in rushing yards allowed (138.9 per game). The Commanders must improve their front-seven performance to keep the game within reach.

Turnovers and Special Teams

Turnovers could play a pivotal role, with both teams ranking in the top 10 in turnover margin. However, Washington’s +0.4 per game edge could give them an advantage if Philadelphia’s sometimes sloppy ball security surfaces under pressure. Additionally, the Eagles’ inconsistency in field goal kicking (77.8%) could create opportunities for Washington in a close game.

Betting Pick and Rationale

This matchup sets up well for a high-scoring game, making the Over 47.5 the best play. Washington’s no-huddle offense and explosive rushing attack have proven they can produce against top defenses, as evidenced by their 36-point outburst in the last meeting with Philadelphia. Additionally, the Eagles' elite rushing attack should exploit Washington’s porous run defense, leading to long drives and points on the board.

While the Eagles’ defense ranks No. 1 in both yards and points allowed, their recent struggles against up-tempo offenses are a red flag. Washington’s combination of Jayden Daniels’ mobility and their no-huddle efficiency (5.4 yards per carry) will create matchup problems. Expect both teams to score early and often, pushing the game over the total.

Prediction: Eagles 30, Commanders 28

Best Bet: Over 47.5


SAVE BIG MONEY BY BETTING AT -105 REDUCED ODDS!
Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
DOCS

NFL Betting

Reduced Juice – Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.

What is a Point Spread? – Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.

Football Bets – All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.

What Professional Handicappers Do – Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!

Key Numbers – The article that bookies don’t want you to read!

NFL Betting Quiz – Test your football wagering prowess with Loot’s 10 question quiz!

Super Bowl 52 Predictions – Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win “the big game” along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!

NFL Season Wins Predictions – Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they’ll do vs. the number!

NFL Bye Weeks – The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11.

NFL Coaching Changes – We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don’t win. Check out who went where right here!

Misc.

Famous Football Players – Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.

Greatest NFL Players of All Time – A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it’s own dedicated article!

Best Quarterbacks of All Time – Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB’s, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.

Best Running Backs of All Time – We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.

Football Lingo – One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!

Football Quotes – Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.