Before you lay your hard-earned cash on the line, see what our experts have to say about the Buccaneers vs. Chiefs game. We break down the matchup and offer our top picks.
Game Information
Date/Time: November 4, 8:15 PM ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Weather Forecast: Chilly, mostly clear with temperatures in the mid-40s
Odds and Betting Lines
Spread: Chiefs -9.5
Total: 45.5
Moneyline: Buccaneers +350, Chiefs -450
Team Overview
| Team | Record | ATS | O/U | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay (TB) | 4-4-0 | 4-4-0 | 6-2-0 | 2-1-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Kansas City (KC) | 7-0-0 | 5-2-0 | 3-4-0 | 4-0-0 | 3-0-0 |
The Kansas City Chiefs remain undefeated, boasting a balanced offense and strong defense, while the Buccaneers are 4-4, struggling with inconsistency and key injuries.
Recent Results
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Oct 27, '24: Lost to ATL 26-31 (ATS Loss, Over)
- Oct 21, '24: Lost to BAL 31-41 (ATS Loss, Over)
- Oct 13, '24: Defeated NO 51-27 (ATS Win, Over)
- Oct 03, '24: Lost to ATL 30-36 (ATS Loss, Over)
- Sep 29, '24: Defeated PHI 33-16 (ATS Win, Over)
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have consistently won all their games, showing both offensive prowess and defensive efficiency.
Injury and Trade Impact Analysis
- Buccaneers Without Top Receivers: Tampa Bay’s top two receivers, Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, are out, significantly impacting Baker Mayfield's options in the passing game.
- Chiefs Bolster Defense with Joshua Uche: Kansas City’s acquisition of linebacker Joshua Uche from New England strengthens an already solid defensive corps, improving their pass rush and coverage options.
Matchup Analysis
Buccaneers Offense vs. Chiefs Defense
The Buccaneers’ offense, averaging 389.5 yards per game (4th in the league), faces a Chiefs defense ranked 5th in total yards allowed (295.0).
- Passing Game: Baker Mayfield averages 310.4 yards/game with a 15:7 TD-INT ratio. Missing his top receivers, he’ll face a Kansas City defense allowing 212.7 pass yards/game, now bolstered by Uche’s presence.
- Running Game: Tampa Bay averages 131.0 rushing yards per game but could struggle against Kansas City’s 2nd-ranked rush defense, allowing just 82.3 yards/game.
- Turnover Potential: Mayfield’s interceptions have been costly in past games, and Kansas City’s pass rush is now better equipped to pressure him into mistakes.
Chiefs Offense vs. Buccaneers Defense
Kansas City’s offense, 5th in yards per play (6.3), faces a Tampa Bay defense that ranks middle-of-the-pack in most categories but has struggled against high-powered offenses.
- Mahomes’ Efficiency: Patrick Mahomes is performing at an MVP level, leading an offense that averages 29.4 points/game (4th in the league). Tampa’s secondary may struggle to contain his wide range of passing options.
- Run Game Balance: Kansas City’s balanced offense will keep Tampa Bay guessing, likely forcing them to adjust constantly to the Chiefs’ up-tempo attack.
Key Stats
| Category | Tampa Bay (TB) | Kansas City (KC) |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Game | 389.5 (4th) | 295.0 (5th in Defense) |
| Yards/Play | 6.3 (5th) | 5.3 (5th in Defense) |
| Rushing Yards/Game | 131.0 (10th) | 82.3 (2nd in Defense) |
| Passing Yards/Game | 258.5 (2nd) | 212.7 (17th in Defense) |
| Points/Game | 29.4 (4th) | 17.6 (5th in Defense) |
Prediction and Betting Insights
With Kansas City’s recent acquisition of LB Joshua Uche and the absence of Tampa’s top pass-catchers, the Chiefs are well-positioned to control both sides of the game. Kansas City is favored to cover the -9.5 spread comfortably.
- Betting Analysis: Kansas City covering the spread (-9.5) is likely, especially with Tampa Bay’s reduced offensive options.
- Total Points: The under (45.5) is also appealing, as Tampa may struggle to score without key playmakers.
Final Score Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 31, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13