Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints Week 7
Date: October 17, 2024
Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Betting Odds: Denver -2, O/U 37, Moneyline: Denver -145, New Orleans +120
Lead-In
The Denver Broncos (3-3) head to New Orleans to face a struggling Saints team (2-4) for a key Week 7 matchup. With the Saints dealing with key injuries, including the absence of starting QB Derek Carr and potentially their top two wide receivers, Denver comes in as a slight favorite. Here's why the Broncos -2 spread looks favorable.
Team Overview and Betting Odds
Denver Broncos come into this game with a 3-3 record and a strong 4-2 ATS record. They've been solid on the road, going 2-1 and covering the spread in all three away games. Their defense is a key factor, allowing just 9 points in their last two road games.
New Orleans Saints have struggled to a 2-4 record and are 3-3 ATS. With Derek Carr out for the second straight game, the Saints' offense is severely weakened, especially with receivers Rashid Shaheed and Chris Olave also questionable. The Saints are expected to lean heavily on a less-than-100% Alvin Kamara, which could limit their ability to exploit Denver’s defense.
Key Stats to Know
- Denver ATS (Against the Spread): 4-2 overall, 3-0 on the road.
- New Orleans ATS: 3-3 overall, 1-2 at home.
- Broncos Defense: Ranked 4th in QB rating allowed (72.5), 2nd in interceptions per game (1.7).
- Saints Offense: Struggling with just 18.7 points per game (ranked 25th) and 170.8 passing yards per game (27th).
Injury Impact
New Orleans Saints: Without QB Derek Carr and possibly their top receivers Shaheed and Olave, the Saints' offense lacks firepower. Backup QB Spencer Rattler has been inconsistent, going 22/40 with 243 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INTs last week. RB Alvin Kamara is also dealing with hand and hip injuries, limiting his effectiveness.
Denver Broncos: Cornerback Pat Surtain II is likely out with a concussion, but the rest of Denver’s defense is healthy and capable of handling a depleted Saints offense.
Broncos' Road Success
Denver has excelled on the road, allowing just 9 points to the Jets and 7 to the Buccaneers in recent road games. They’ve covered the spread in all three of their away matchups this season. Expect Denver’s defense to pressure the Saints’ backup QB and take advantage of an injury-depleted offense.
Prediction
With the Saints' key injuries on offense and Denver's ability to cover on the road, backing the Broncos -2 seems like a strong play. The under 37 points also looks favorable given the offensive struggles of both teams and Denver’s ability to limit points away from home.