Where: NRG Stadium (Houston, TX)
When: Sunday, September 15th at 8:20 PM EST
Watch: NBC
Betting Odds
Point Spread: Houston Texans -6.5
Over/Under: 45.5
Lay the -6.5 points
The Houston Texans come into Week 2 after a hard-fought win over division rivals, the Indianapolis Colts. While the final score of 29-27 was close, Houston outgained the Colts 417 to 303 yards, showing their offensive dominance. Their ability to move the ball, especially on the ground, was a standout, accumulating 213 rushing yards. This week, they host a Chicago Bears team that only managed 148 total yards in Week 1 against the Titans.
The Bears' rookie quarterback, Caleb Williams, struggled in his debut, managing just 93 passing yards and completing less than 50% of his throws. While he now has a game under his belt, his first away game at NRG Stadium presents a much tougher challenge. The Texans' defense gave up some big plays but largely controlled the game against the Colts. Houston’s home-field advantage and stronger overall unit make them a smart bet to cover the -6.5 spread against a Bears team still finding its rhythm.
Why Houston -6.5 is the Play:
Houston's Offensive Domination
The Texans outgained the Colts 417 to 303 yards in their Week 1 victory, driven by a strong rushing attack that produced 213 rushing yards. Houston’s ability to control the ground game and wear down defenses makes them dangerous, especially at home, where they will look to extend that dominance.
Caleb Williams Struggles in First Start
Chicago’s rookie QB Caleb Williams managed only 93 passing yards in his debut, completing just 48.3% of his passes. While he avoided turnovers, Williams struggled to move the ball and was sacked twice. With a hostile environment awaiting him in Houston, the Bears’ offense is likely to struggle again.
Historical Trends & Key Stats
- Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games and 7-2 SU in its last 9 home games.
- Chicago is 2-11 SU in its last 13 road games.
- Chicago’s offense was the least productive in Week 1, managing only 2.9 yards per play.
- Houston's defense, while allowing some big plays, should benefit from facing a Bears offense ranked last in total yards in Week 1.
Prediction
Houston’s combination of offensive firepower and home-field advantage makes them the safer bet to cover the spread. Expect Caleb Williams to face more growing pains in his first road game, while Houston controls the clock and keeps the Bears' offense in check.
Final Score Prediction: Houston 31, Chicago 17 (Houston covers -6.5)
