This line speaks volumes. Toronto limps into Dallas with a skeleton crew, while the Mavericks — though not fully healthy themselves — are in bounce-back mode. The Raptors are sitting a slew of key starters: RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, Gradey Dick, and Jakob Poeltl are all confirmed out. Dallas is missing Kyrie Irving and has several rotation players listed as questionable, but the core is largely intact for a team that needs to close strong at home.
The Raptors are 12-27 on the road, but they’ve been kind to bettors all year (48-31-1 ATS). Dallas has been flaky against the spread (36-41-3 ATS), but this feels like a “get-right” spot against a G-League caliber lineup.
Key Matchups & Analysis
- Offensive Drop-Off: Toronto ranks bottom-10 in nearly every offensive metric. Without Quickley and Barrett, their scoring punch is basically gone. Their 75% free throw shooting and 34.9% from deep won’t cut it here.
- Dallas’ Edge on the Boards: The Mavs rank top-10 in rebounding and offensive glass. That’s bad news for a depleted Raptors frontcourt that’s without Poeltl and lacking size.
- Situational Angle: This is the final game of the regular season. Dallas is at home, licking wounds, and staring at a sub-.500 finish. Expect a statement game, even with key players out. Toronto’s already looking to the offseason.
