The Heat are laying double digits tonight—and for good reason. This is a mismatch on paper, on the court, and in the trainer's room. Let’s break it down.
Game Overview
Philly's just about out of warm bodies. Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Paul George, Eric Gordon, and more are all out. What's left is a G-League rotation being held together by Quentin Grimes and some duct tape. They've dropped 7 of their last 9 and were blown out 118–95 in this same matchup just over a week ago.
Miami, meanwhile, has been fighting to stay in the play-in mix and looked sharp in March. They've won 7 of their last 10 SU and have quietly covered 9 of those 10 ATS. Even with a few questionable tags (Herro, Burks), this is a well-coached group that should throw whatever it takes at Philly to secure a needed win.
Key Matchups & Analysis
- Injuries: Miami has some day-to-day guys, but Philly is flat-out depleted. No Embiid, Maxey, George, or Oubre means a massive drop in production on both ends.
- Motivation: Miami has seeding incentive. Philly? They're barely dressing 10 guys.
- Defense vs Offense: The Sixers are bottom-5 in scoring (109.6 PPG) and rebounding, and their starting five gave up 121 to Milwaukee last game. Miami's top-10 defense should lock them down again.
- ATS Trends: Miami is 9-1 ATS last 10. Philly is 1-7 ATS last 8 as a road dog of 10+.
