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Bash fades the 11-point cushion for elimination desperation and backs the over 214.5 in Thunder-Lakers Game 4, citing a 13.3-point gap between the market total and his 228-point projection driven by offensive efficiency and pace.

Bash sees a playoff total mispriced by double digits as two elite offenses and leaky defenses set up a much higher-scoring game than the 213.0 market number suggests.

Bash breaks down Spurs-Timberwolves Game 4, where the market is pricing playoff defense but the pace and efficiency data point to a total that should sail over 218.

Bash finds a total pricing in a defensive grind that doesn't match the efficiency foundation — and takes the Over 211.5 in Thunder-Lakers Game 3.

Bash is ignoring Cleveland's home dominance and targeting the over in Game 3, projecting 230 points in a matchup where both teams have offensive ratings above 117 and the total sits 17.5 points too low.

Bash sees value on the Over 214.5 in Game 3 of Knicks-76ers, with the market underpricing the offensive firepower and a projected total 13.2 points higher than the posted number.

Bash sees a 13-point gap between his projection and the market total in Spurs-Timberwolves Game 3, with the pace and offensive firepower pointing to a scoring environment that exceeds what the books are pricing at 218.

Bash sees a market overreaction in Game 2 of the Western Conference semifinals, backing the Lakers +15 against the defending champs in OKC despite Tuesday's blowout.