Royals vs Cubs Free Picks & Tips | Young Lefty Cameron Tests MLB-Best Cubs at Wrigley

Royals vs Cubs Free Picks & Tips | Young Lefty Cameron Tests MLB-Best Cubs at Wrigley

Game Details

Royals vs Cubs Free Picks & Tips | Young Lefty Cameron Tests MLB-Best Cubs at Wrigley

Date/Time: July 22, 2025 — 8:05 PM ET

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois

TV: MLB Network

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Royals +1.5 (-182) / Cubs −1.5 (+150)

Moneyline: Royals +120 / Cubs -142

Over/Under Total: 8 runs

The total has ticked up slightly with 65% of early money coming in on the over despite Wrigley Field's pitcher-friendly conditions.

Game Overview

The surging Chicago Cubs welcome the Kansas City Royals to Wrigley Field for an intriguing interleague matchup. Chicago enters as the hottest team in the National League, sitting atop the NL Central with a 59-40 record and dominating at home (32-17). Meanwhile, Kansas City has shown resilience lately, going 6-4 in their last 10 games including yesterday's 7-4 victory over Miami to avoid a sweep. The Royals have been respectable on the road (24-26) but face a tough test against a Cubs team averaging 5.3 runs per game and slugging an MLB-third-best 148 home runs this season.

Key Matchups & Analysis

  • Cameron's Command vs. Cubs' Power
    Noah Cameron (3-4, 2.31 ERA) has been a bright spot for Kansas City, limiting opponents to a .221 batting average with an impressive 1.00 WHIP across 70 innings. However, the rookie left-hander now faces his toughest test against the Cubs' power-laden lineup featuring Seiya Suzuki (26 HR) and Kyle Tucker's .383 OBP.
  • Bullpen Battle
    Kansas City boasts All-Star closer Carlos Estevez (26 saves, 2nd in MLB) anchoring their relief corps, but the Cubs counter with a deep bullpen featuring Brad Keller (15 holds) and Caleb Thielbar. With Ryan Brasier (0-0, 1.04 ERA) likely opening a bullpen game for Chicago, middle relief effectiveness will be crucial.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. vs. Wrigley Field
    The Royals' star shortstop leads MLB with 33 doubles and has hit safely in 8 of his last 10 games, but Wrigley Field ranks as the 25th most hitter-friendly park for runs (0.898 factor) this season. Will his gap-to-gap approach play in the Friendly Confines?
  • Salvador Perez's Power Surge
    The veteran catcher has caught fire, homering 6 times in his last 10 games including yesterday's blast against Miami. His experience could be vital against Chicago's bullpen approach, especially with Brasier opening.

Prediction

I’m backing the OVER 8 RUNS (-115) as my top play in this interleague matchup. While Wrigley Field typically suppresses scoring (ranking 25th in run factor at 0.898), several factors point toward a higher-scoring affair. Noah Cameron has been excellent but faces a Cubs lineup that ranks 3rd in MLB in home runs and has consistently produced at home. Ryan Brasier is expected to open a bullpen game for Chicago, meaning we’ll see multiple relievers for both sides—creating more variance and scoring opportunities.

Salvador Perez is in the midst of a power surge with 6 homers in his last 10 games, while Bobby Witt Jr. continues to drive the ball with authority (MLB-leading 33 doubles). The Cubs counter with Seiya Suzuki’s 26 homers and Pete Crow-Armstrong’s hot streak (hitting .286 with extra-base hits in 4 straight games). The bullpen-heavy approach should create favorable matchups for hitters on both sides, pushing this total over the 8-run mark.

Best Bets

Betting Pick: Take the Over 8.5
Final Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Royals 4

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