The betting public continues to back the Yankees despite the Red Sox winning eight straight in this rivalry.
Game Overview
The Red Sox have absolutely dominated this rivalry in 2025, winning eight consecutive games against the Yankees including three straight blowouts in this weekend series. Boston has outscored New York 19-4 through the first three games at Yankee Stadium, showcasing superior execution in every facet of the game. The Yankees are desperate to salvage the finale and avoid what would be a humiliating four-game sweep at home, as they continue to struggle against upper-echelon teams. This matchup has major playoff implications with Boston currently holding a 1.5-game advantage over New York in the wild card race.
Key Matchups & Analysis
- Pitching Matchup: May vs. Rodón
Boston sends Dustin May (6-7, 4.85 ERA) to the mound while the Yankees counter with Carlos Rodón (13-7, 3.24 ERA). Rodón has been New York's most reliable starter recently, but his team has consistently failed to provide run support. May has been inconsistent but has shown flashes of his pre-Tommy John surgery form. - Red Sox Bullpen Advantage
Boston holds a significant edge in the late innings with closer Aroldis Chapman (24 saves, 1.08 ERA) having a renaissance season. The Yankees' closer-by-committee approach has been inconsistent, with Devin Williams and David Bednar sharing duties. - Trevor Story's Resurgence
Story has been red-hot for Boston, batting .333 with 5 homers over his last 22 games. His 20/20 season (20 HR, 22 SB) gives the Red Sox lineup versatility that the one-dimensional Yankees offense lacks. - Aaron Judge's Struggles
The Yankees captain is hitting just .218 since returning from the IL on August 5 and appears limited by his elbow injury. His absence from right field has forced Giancarlo Stanton into defensive duty, creating a significant defensive liability.