Pirates vs Brewers Free Picks & Tips | Woodruff Seeks to Continue Dominance as Milwaukee Chases 12 Straight

Pirates vs Brewers Free Picks & Tips | Woodruff Seeks to Continue Dominance as Milwaukee Chases 12 Straight

Game Details

Pittsburgh Pirates (51-70, 4-11 in last 15) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (75-44, 11-0 in last 11)

Date/Time: August 13, 2025 — 2:10 PM ET

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

TV: Fox Sports

Point Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5 (-115) / Milwaukee −1.5 (-105)

Moneyline: Pittsburgh +185 / Milwaukee -225

Over/Under Total: 7.5 runs

Public money heavily backing Milwaukee as they chase their 12th consecutive win and potential free burgers for fans.

Game Overview

The red-hot Milwaukee Brewers are on an 11-game win streak and looking for a dozen straight as they host the struggling Pirates in this Wednesday matinee. Milwaukee has been utterly dominant, including a 14-0 shellacking of the Pirates on Tuesday where they roughed up Paul Skenes. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has dropped to 19 games behind the division-leading Brewers and is just 4-11 in their last 15. The season series has been lopsided with Milwaukee taking 7 of 9 matchups, outscoring Pittsburgh 55-26.

Key Matchups & Analysis

  • Woodruff's Return to Dominance
    Brandon Woodruff (4-0, 2.29 ERA) has been exceptional since returning from injury, posting a microscopic 0.65 WHIP with 45 strikeouts against just 6 walks in 35.1 innings. The Pirates have historically struggled against his high-velocity fastball and devastating changeup combination.
  • Keller's Road Struggles
    Mitch Keller (5-10, 3.86 ERA) has been Pittsburgh's most reliable starter but has struggled on the road with a 4.67 ERA away from PNC Park. Despite solid peripherals (107 K's in 137.2 IP), he's received the worst run support among qualified NL starters.
  • Brewers' Offensive Explosion
    Milwaukee's offense has been firing on all cylinders during their win streak, averaging 6.9 runs per game with multiple contributors stepping up. Christian Yelich is hitting .350 with two homers in his last five games, while William Contreras is batting a scorching .471 with three home runs during that span.
  • Pirates' Bullpen Depletion
    After Tuesday's blowout, Pittsburgh's bullpen is severely taxed, having thrown 13 innings in the past two games. The Brewers should have an overwhelming advantage in the later innings with their well-rested relief corps.

Prediction

While the Brewers moneyline (-225) is prohibitively expensive, the run line offers better value at -105. Everything points to another Milwaukee victory as they chase their second 12-game winning streak of the season. Woodruff has been nearly untouchable since his return, while the Pirates’ offense has been anemic, especially on the road where they average just 3.2 runs per game. I’m particularly impressed with how Milwaukee has handled lesser competition during this streak, winning by multiple runs in 8 of their 11 consecutive victories.

The x-factor here is the “George Webb burger” promotion that offers free hamburgers if the Brewers win 12 straight games. This has energized both the team and fanbase, creating an electric atmosphere that should give Milwaukee an additional edge. Add in the fact that the Pirates were demoralized in Tuesday’s blowout and had their manager ejected, and you have all the ingredients for another decisive Brewers win.

I’m taking the Brewers -1.5 (-105) as my best bet. Woodruff should dominate a Pirates lineup that’s hitting just .232 collectively, while Milwaukee’s potent offense should continue its assault against a pitcher in Keller who has received minimal run support all season.

Best Bets

Betting Pick: Take the Brewers -1.5 -105
Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee 5, Pittsburgh 2

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