Cubs vs White Sox Free Picks & Tips | Bullpen Battle Decides Crosstown Finale

Cubs vs White Sox Free Picks & Tips | Bullpen Battle Decides Crosstown Finale

Game Details

Chicago Cubs (61-43, 28-24 road, 52-41 ATS in last 93) vs. Chicago White Sox (38-67, 22-30 home, 28-26 ATS in last 54)

Date/Time: July 27, 2025 — 2:10 PM ET

Location: Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois

TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Cubs -1.5 (-115) / White Sox +1.5 (-105)

Moneyline: Cubs -193 / White Sox +162

Over/Under Total: 9 runs

Heavy public money has pushed this total to 9.

Game Overview

The crosstown series concludes with the Cubs and White Sox each looking to claim bragging rights in this rubber match. The White Sox exploded for 12 runs in Friday's opener before the Cubs responded with a decisive 6-1 victory Saturday behind Cade Horton's dominant performance. The Cubs have taken 4 of 5 from the Sox this season and hold a 76-75 all-time series edge heading into today's finale. The White Sox have been MLB's hottest offense since the All-Star break (61 runs in 7 games) until Saturday's cooling off, while the Cubs are fighting to reclaim the NL Central lead they recently lost to Milwaukee.

Key Matchups & Analysis

  • Struggling Starters Facing Heavy Pressure
    Cubs' Ben Brown (4-7, 6.48 ERA) has been hit hard lately, allowing 14 runs in his last 9 innings. Meanwhile, White Sox rookie Grant Taylor (0-1, 3.93 ERA) makes just his third MLB start and will likely be limited to 3-4 innings as an opener before giving way to Sean Burke.
  • Cubs' Power Stroke Returning
    Ian Happ and Matt Shaw both homered Saturday after the Cubs were shut out through six innings. Shaw is particularly hot, hitting .478 (11-for-23) with 4 homers since the All-Star break, providing much-needed protection for Kyle Tucker in the lineup.
  • Bullpen Contrast Favors Cubs
    The Cubs bullpen ranks 8th in MLB with a 3.78 ERA and features elite specialists in Brad Keller (15 holds) and Ryan Pressly (5 saves). The White Sox relief corps showed cracks Saturday when Jordan Leasure and Dan Altavilla combined to allow 6 runs, pushing their team bullpen ERA to 4.42 (22nd in MLB).
  • Luis Robert's Absence
    The White Sox center fielder has missed two straight games with adductor soreness and remains questionable for today. His recent hot streak (.375 over 9 games) had been a bright spot in an otherwise disappointing season, and his absence removes a key power threat from the lineup.

Prediction

I’m backing the CUBS -1.5 (-115) in this Crosstown finale. While Brown has struggled mightily, the Cubs have enough offensive firepower to overcome any early deficit against a White Sox bullpen game. Taylor is still finding his footing at the MLB level, and his limited pitch count will force the White Sox to rely heavily on their bullpen that just collapsed Saturday. Even if Brown struggles early, the Cubs’ superior relief corps should stabilize things, and their offense is primed to capitalize against the Sox’s middle relievers.

The real value is in the run line rather than laying the heavy -193 moneyline. The Cubs have won 7 of their last 10 road games by multiple runs, and the White Sox typically don’t play close games (they’re either winning big or losing big). With the series tied and Cubs looking to retain first place in the all-time series, expect a focused effort from the North Siders who have more to play for in the standings.

Best Bets

Betting Pick: Take the Cubs -1.5 (-115)
Final Score Prediction: Cubs 7, White Sox 4

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