Athletics vs Rangers Free Picks & Tips | deGrom vs Ginn Creates Massive Pitching Mismatch

Athletics vs Rangers Free Picks & Tips | deGrom vs Ginn Creates Massive Pitching Mismatch

Game Details

Oakland Athletics (42-60, 21-28 ATS in last 49) vs. Texas Rangers (51-50, 24-18 ATS in last 42)

Date/Time: July 23, 2025 — 8:05 PM ET

Location: Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas

TV: RSN and NBCS-CA

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Athletics +1.5 (-104) / Rangers −1.5 (-115)

Moneyline: Athletics +205 / Rangers -250

Over/Under Total: 8 runs

Public money heavily backing deGrom and the Rangers as massive favorites at home.

Game Overview

The Rangers have jumped back over .500 after their 7-2 victory in the series opener against Oakland. Texas has been surging lately, going 7-3 in their last 10 games while outscoring opponents by 32 runs during that stretch. Meanwhile, the Athletics continue to struggle in the AL West basement despite showing offensive improvement this season. Oakland is just 5-5 in their last 10 with their pitching staff posting a concerning 4.55 ERA during that span. In head-to-head matchups this season, Oakland surprisingly holds a 5-3 edge, though that advantage could quickly evaporate with Jacob deGrom taking the mound tonight.

Key Matchups & Analysis

  • deGrom's Dominant Return
    Jacob deGrom has been nothing short of spectacular this season, posting a 9-2 record with a 2.32 ERA and 113 strikeouts across 112.1 innings. His 0.91 WHIP ranks among the best in baseball, and he's showing no signs of the injury issues that plagued him previously.
  • Ginn's Growing Pains
    J.T. Ginn brings a 1-2 record with a 4.91 ERA into this matchup. While he's shown promising strikeout ability (41 Ks in 33 innings), his 1.30 WHIP indicates vulnerability that the Rangers' lineup can exploit. The experience gap between these two starters couldn't be more dramatic.
  • Josh Jung's Return Impact
    Jung made an immediate impact in his return to the Rangers lineup, homering in his first at-bat back from Triple-A and scoring three runs in Monday's victory. His presence strengthens a Texas lineup that's been finding its rhythm lately.
  • Globe Life Field Factor
    The Rangers' home park ranks 8th in MLB with a 1.025 run factor and 1.211 HR factor, making it significantly hitter-friendly. This compounds problems for Ginn while providing deGrom with ample run support opportunities.

Prediction

The moneyline at -250 is simply too steep to recommend, but the Rangers run line at -1.5 (-115) offers significant value. This pitching matchup represents one of the most lopsided we’ll see all season. Jacob deGrom is pitching like a legitimate Cy Young contender while Ginn is still finding his footing at the major league level. When you combine deGrom’s dominance (0.91 WHIP) with Texas’ offensive resurgence and the fact that they’re playing at home where they’ve gone 29-20 this season, laying the 1.5 runs becomes an easy decision.

I’m particularly impressed with how the Rangers have been handling divisional opponents lately, and their bullpen should be in decent shape despite Chris Martin’s recent injury. The Athletics have shown some offensive life with Nick Kurtz and Jacob Wilson providing unexpected production, but deGrom should neutralize those threats efficiently. Look for Texas to build an early lead and extend it against Oakland’s vulnerable bullpen.

Best Bets

Betting Pick: Take the Rangers -1.5 -115
Final Score Prediction: Rangers 6, Athletics 2

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