Location: SECU Stadium, College Park, MD
Date and Time: November 16, 2024, at 6:00 PM ET
Weather Forecast: [Insert Forecast Here]
Odds Block
| Team | Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers | +5.5 (-130) | Over 54.5 (-110) | +155 |
| Maryland | -5.5 (+100) | Under 54.5 (-110) | -190 |
Lead-In: Why Rutgers Can Cover the Spread
Rutgers enters this matchup with a solid 5-4 record and has consistently proven their ability to cover spreads, going 4-4-1 ATS this season. Maryland, meanwhile, has struggled defensively and underperformed in key spots. With Rutgers’ disciplined play and Maryland’s inconsistency, here are five key reasons why Rutgers is the bet to make this Saturday.
1. Rutgers’ Defense Remains a Strength
Rutgers’ defense is ranked 73rd nationally, holding opponents to 383.6 yards per game. They excel in run defense, allowing just 113.6 yards per game (25th nationally). Against Maryland’s run-first attack, Rutgers’ defensive front should be able to control the line of scrimmage.
2. Maryland’s Defensive Vulnerabilities
Maryland’s pass defense ranks 124th nationally, giving up 265.4 yards per game. This opens the door for Rutgers QB A. Kaliakmanis, who has averaged 225.8 yards per game in recent weeks and shown improvement in completion percentage over the last three games.
3. Rutgers Thrives as Underdogs
As a road underdog, Rutgers has covered in tough spots this season, including a win over Washington and a strong showing against UCLA. Their disciplined style, ranking 3rd nationally in penalties (3.8 per game), keeps them competitive even when outmatched on paper.
4. Maryland’s Struggles in Tight Games
Maryland has faltered in close games, evident from their 4-5 record and inability to cover spreads at home (1-3 ATS). Their offense also struggles in the second quarter, where they average just 6.6 points (108th nationally), potentially leaving an opening for Rutgers to build momentum.
5. Special Teams Edge for Rutgers
Rutgers has excelled on special teams, ranking 13th in punt return yardage (15.3 yards per return). This can flip field position and set up scoring opportunities, critical in a matchup where every point matters.
Gary G's Pick
Maryland has shown vulnerability in pass defense and struggled to execute in key moments, particularly at home. Rutgers’ disciplined defense and ability to capitalize on Maryland’s mistakes make them a strong play as underdogs. With the Scarlet Knights covering the spread in 5 of their last 10 games, and Maryland’s poor ATS performance at home (1-3), taking Rutgers and the points offers excellent value in this Big Ten clash.
Gary G’s Pick: Rutgers +5.5