Location: United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
Date: October 12, 2024
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Odds
- Spread: Penn State -5.5, USC +5.5
- Total: 48
- Moneyline: Penn State -205, USC +170
Game Preview
The undefeated Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) travel to Los Angeles to face the USC Trojans (3-2) in a marquee Big Ten vs. Pac-12 matchup at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Penn State enters the game as the 5.5-point favorite, but USC boasts one of the most dangerous offenses in the country, making this a compelling contest with strong potential for the over to hit.
Both teams feature potent offenses and a history of games where scoring is abundant. Penn State has averaged **34.4 points per game**, while USC has averaged **30.8 points per game**. These offensive stats, combined with USC’s defensive vulnerabilities, point toward a high-scoring affair. In fact, the total has gone **over in 19 of USC's last 25 games** overall, and the Trojans' defense has shown signs of inconsistency, allowing **362 yards per game** in their most recent loss to Minnesota.
Why the Over is the Strong Play
1. USC's Defensive Vulnerabilities
USC's defense has struggled against high-powered offenses, allowing an average of **18.4 points per game** but giving up **24 or more points** in 3 of their last 5 games. Their pass defense ranks 90th nationally, allowing opponents to capitalize through the air. With Penn State’s QB Drew Allar boasting a **15.06 yards per pass** stat, USC will have a tough time slowing down the Nittany Lions' vertical attack.
2. Penn State’s Explosive Offense
Penn State’s offense has been one of the most efficient in the country, averaging **34.4 points per game** and showcasing balance with both the run and the pass. They’re gaining **217.8 rushing yards per game** and **244 passing yards per game**, making them a dual threat. USC’s defense, which gives up **158.6 rushing yards** per game, will likely struggle to contain the Nittany Lions' dynamic attack, further pushing the score toward the over.
3. Both Teams' Offensive Firepower
USC's offense is no slouch either, averaging **30.8 points per game** and **292.8 passing yards** per game, led by QB Caleb Williams. Penn State’s defense has been tough, allowing just **11.4 points per game**, but USC’s ability to create big plays down the field makes them a threat to score quickly and often. With both offenses operating at a high level, the over at 48 looks like a safe bet.
With potent offenses on both sides, USC's defensive inconsistencies, and Penn State’s ability to exploit weaknesses, this game has all the makings of a high-scoring affair. The over at 48 presents a strong betting option in this exciting matchup between two storied programs.
Pick: Take the Over 48