Game Details
Ohio State (12-2 SU, 8-6 ATS) vs. Texas (13-2 SU, 8-7 ATS)
College Football Playoff Final
Date/Time: January 10, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
TV: ESPN
Betting Odds
- Point Spread: Ohio State -6.0 (-120) | Texas +6.0 (-110)
- Moneyline: Ohio State -250 | Texas +200
- Over/Under Total: 53.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Game Overview
This College Football Playoff Final is a heavyweight clash between Ohio State's high-octane offense and Texas's elite defense. The Buckeyes enter as six-point favorites, but Texas's balanced team, defensive prowess, and ability to limit mistakes make them an intriguing underdog.
Recent Performance
Ohio State is coming off a dominant 41-21 win over Oregon, with QB W. Howard putting up 319 passing yards and three touchdowns. Texas punched its ticket to the final by defeating Alabama 28-24 in a gritty battle that showcased its resilience and versatility.
Both teams bring top-tier talent, but the matchup may hinge on whether Texas's defense, which ranks 3rd in total yards allowed, can slow Ohio State's explosive attack.
Key Matchups
Ohio State Offense vs. Texas Defense
Ohio State averages 432.5 yards per game (31st nationally) but thrives in efficiency, ranking 3rd in yards per play (7.0) and 5th in yards per attempt (9.2). Texas's defense counters with an elite pass defense, allowing just 166 yards per game (3rd nationally) and 5.5 yards per attempt (1st).
Texas Offense vs. Ohio State Defense
Texas's offense is balanced, led by a strong rushing attack (169.1 yards per game). While the Buckeyes have a solid rush defense (111.9 yards per game, 14th nationally), they've shown vulnerabilities against mobile quarterbacks and creative play-calling.
Fourth Quarter Resilience
Ohio State has struggled late in games, averaging just 5.1 points in the fourth quarter (125th nationally). Texas, with its ability to close games and adjust defensively, has an edge if the game remains tight into the final frame.
Trends to Watch
- Texas ATS: The Longhorns are 8-7 ATS this season and 4-0 ATS at neutral sites.
- Ohio State ATS: The Buckeyes are 8-6 ATS overall but just 3-4 ATS in their last seven games.
- Totals: Both teams trend toward Unders, with Texas at 6-8-1 O/U and Ohio State at 7-7 O/U.
Betting Pick and Rationale
Ohio State's explosive offense is formidable, but Texas's defensive efficiency and strong situational play make them a strong bet to stay within the spread. The Longhorns' ability to limit big plays and their balanced offense should keep the game competitive.
Pick: Texas +6.0
Projected Score: Ohio State 27, Texas 24
Expect a close contest where Texas's defense and late-game resilience shine, giving them a strong chance to cover the six-point spread. If Ohio State's offense sputters against Texas's top-tier secondary, an outright upset could even be on the table.