Georgia State Panthers (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS) at UConn Huskies (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)
NCAA Football Week 10
Date/Time: Thursday, November 1, 2024, at 7:00 PM ET
Where: Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field, East Hartford, CT
TV: ESPN
Lead-In: The UConn Huskies welcome the Georgia State Panthers in a Thursday night showdown for Week 10 of NCAA Football. UConn is looking to continue its dominance at home with a spread of -7.5 against a Georgia State team that has struggled on the road.
Betting Odds
Point Spread: UConn -7.5 / Georgia State +7.5
Money Line: UConn -300 / Georgia State +240
Over/Under Total: 48.5
Game Preview
The UConn Huskies (-7.5) look to extend their home dominance as they welcome the Georgia State Panthers in a Thursday night matchup at Pratt & Whitney Stadium. UConn has built an impressive 5-1 home record, with all but one of those wins coming by more than the -7.5 point spread for this game. Their only close call came against Rice, where they surrendered a late 100-yard kickoff return to win by just seven. With a strong home track record and a defense ranked among the top 35 in several key categories, UConn is aiming for a decisive victory. Meanwhile, Georgia State has been inconsistent on the road, and the oddsmakers' -7.5 line suggests a close game but leans toward the Huskies’ defensive edge.
Georgia State Panthers (2-5, 7th Sun Belt)
The Panthers, struggling with a 2-5 overall record, have shown flashes of offensive potential but haven’t found much consistency. Georgia State’s passing game, led by quarterback Zach Gibson, averages 247.7 yards per game and has produced ten touchdowns this season. However, they’ll face a daunting task against a UConn defense that ranks 31st nationally in total yards allowed and has a knack for keeping opposing offenses contained, especially on third down. Georgia State’s biggest obstacle has been on the road, where they are 0-3, and defensive lapses have allowed opponents to score freely, with Georgia State ranked 117th in points allowed (30.1 per game).
UConn Huskies (5-3, 2nd IA Independents)
UConn has excelled on their home turf this season, going 5-1 and covering spreads with a solid record of 5-3 ATS. With a defense allowing only 325.5 yards per game and a standout 4.8 yards per play (17th nationally), the Huskies have repeatedly shown the ability to control the tempo at home. This trend played out in their narrow victory over Rice, where a last-minute kickoff return kept them from a larger winning margin, but their overall defensive control was never in doubt.
UConn’s offense, led by Ta’Quan Roberson, has been consistent, averaging 21.9 points per game. They don’t rely on explosive plays but instead work to control the pace and wear down opponents. UConn’s defensive efficiency shines in the red zone and late in games, as shown by their ranking of 33rd in fourth-quarter points allowed. Against a Georgia State defense that has struggled on the road, UConn has a good chance to dictate the game and cover the spread if they can avoid the late-game lapses that nearly cost them against Rice.
Key Factors and Betting Angles
Defensive Advantage: UConn’s defensive metrics rank among the best in the FBS, and they’ll be going up against a Georgia State offense that has been inconsistent. UConn allows just 4.8 yards per play and has proven tough to beat at home.
Home Dominance with Winning Margins: UConn’s 5-1 home record features wins covering larger spreads, giving confidence to backers looking for them to cover the -7.5 point line.
Late-Line Hook: With the line set at -7.5, the odds are tempting for Georgia State bettors. UConn’s late-game performances have been strong, especially defensively, which may push this game beyond a one-score result in favor of the Huskies.
Pick: Take the Huskies -7.5