- Teams: Boise State Broncos vs UNLV Rebels
- Week: Week 9
- Date: October 25, 2024
- Time: 10:30 PM ET
- Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
Betting Odds
Point Spread: Boise State -3.5 (-100) | UNLV +3.5 (-120)
Moneyline: Boise State -165 | UNLV +140
Total (Over/Under): 64.5 (O -105 | U -115)
Five Reasons Why Boise State Should Win and Cover the Spread
1. Boise State’s Offensive Dominance
Boise State boasts one of the top offenses in the Mountain West, averaging 46.8 points per game, ranked 3rd nationally. They have a well-balanced attack, excelling both in the air and on the ground. This offensive prowess will challenge UNLV’s defense, which ranks 88th in total yards allowed. Boise State’s ability to score from multiple angles should keep them ahead in this game.
2. Ground Game Control
Boise State’s run game is exceptional, averaging 289.8 rushing yards per game and a national-best 7.7 yards per carry. Although UNLV has a solid rush defense (allowing 3.4 yards per carry), Boise State's rushing attack has overpowered defenses all season. They can control the clock and keep UNLV’s offense off the field.
3. Recent Head-to-Head Success
Boise State defeated UNLV convincingly last season, 44-20, covering a similar spread of -2.5. With much of their roster returning and confidence from that recent success, they’ll look to repeat the performance. Boise State’s consistency, with an 8-2 record in their last 10 games, shows they can perform in high-pressure situations, especially in conference matchups like this one.
4. Key Defensive Metrics
Boise State’s defense has been solid, allowing only 22.6 points per game. Their pass rush (3.1 sacks per game) and secondary’s ability to create turnovers (5th in interceptions) will be critical against UNLV’s offense. The pressure they can generate on UNLV’s quarterback could cause mistakes, slowing down UNLV's high-flying passing attack.
5. Special Teams Advantage
Boise State’s special teams unit has been a bright spot, especially on kickoff returns where they average 25.5 yards per return (12th nationally). This advantage in field position can lead to shorter scoring drives and increase their scoring potential. In a close game, special teams can make a significant difference, and Boise State has the edge here.
With their offensive firepower, recent head-to-head success, and a strong defense, Boise State is well-positioned to win and cover the -3.5 point spread in this critical Mountain West showdown.
Pick: Take Boise State -3.5