Toledo Rockets (7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS) vs. Akron Zips (3-8 SU, 5-6 ATS)
NCAA Football Week 14
Date/Time: Tuesday, November 26, 2024, at 7 PM EST
Where: InfoCision Stadium, Akron, Ohio
TV: ESPN2
Betting Odds
Point Spread: TOL -8 / AKR +8
Money Line: TOL -320 / AKR +260
Over/Under Total: 49
Game Overview
The Toledo Rockets travel to Akron for an in-state MAC showdown against the Zips. Toledo is looking to secure their eighth win and improve their bowl appeal, while Akron wraps up a challenging season at 3-8. Despite the Zips' poor record, they come off a decisive 38-17 win over Kent State, their best season performance since 2018. Meanwhile, Toledo enters this game after a disappointing 24-7 loss to Ohio, raising questions about their ability to cover the spread on the road.
Hazards for the Rockets
Toledo's defense has struggled late in the season, leaving opportunities for Akron’s offense, led by QB Ben Finley, to exploit. While Finley’s performances have been inconsistent, his supporting cast of receivers, including Adrian Norton and Bobby Golden, along with RB Jordan Simmons, provide enough firepower to challenge the Rockets. Akron has shown improvement throughout the season, managing a win over Eastern Michigan and hanging tough against Buffalo and NIU.
Can Toledo Close Strong?
Despite a rough outing against Ohio, Toledo has shown potential in recent games, outscoring opponents 123-26 in the three prior matchups. QB Tucker Gleason’s health is pivotal, as backup John Alan Richter struggled in relief. Toledo’s offense leans heavily on WRs Jerjuan Newton and Junior Vanderross III, and they'll need Gleason to maximize their passing attack against Akron’s unremarkable defense, which has forced only three interceptions all season.
Betting Trends
- Toledo is 5-6 ATS this season and 2-3 ATS in their last five road games.
- Akron is also 5-6 ATS this season but has covered in two of their last three games.
- Akron has only two double-digit losses in MAC play, showcasing resilience despite their record.
- Toledo has struggled to cover large spreads on the road this season.
Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread
Akron has shown steady improvement this season and will benefit from home-field advantage in this matchup. Toledo’s recent struggles, combined with uncertainties at quarterback, make the Zips a compelling pick to cover the +8 spread. While Toledo could bounce back, the resilient Zips have the tools to keep this game within reach. Take Akron plus the points.