Minnesota vs Rutgers Betting Picks & Prediction | Mar 9/25

Get key betting insights for Minnesota vs Rutgers on March 9, including odds, analysis, and the best pick for this Big Ten matchup.


Game Details

Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-15 SU, 10-18-2 ATS) vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (14-16 SU, 14-15-1 ATS)

Big Ten Basketball

Date/Time: March 9, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Where: Jersey Mike's Arena – Piscataway, NJ

TV: Big Ten Network


Betting Odds

Point Spread: Rutgers -5.5 (-110) / Minnesota +5.5 (-110)

Money Line: Rutgers -235 / Minnesota +190

Over/Under Total: 143.5 (o -105 / u -115)


Game Overview

Minnesota and Rutgers square off in a Big Ten clash with both teams looking to finish the regular season on a positive note. Minnesota comes in at .500 on the season, but their 10-18-2 ATS record reflects how poorly they've performed against the number. Rutgers, meanwhile, has been slightly more reliable for bettors at 14-15-1 ATS, but they’ve struggled at home recently, going just 3-8 SU in their last 11 at Jersey Mike's Arena.

Minnesota won the last matchup on February 18, taking down Rutgers 81-70 as a 5.5-point favorite. The Gophers have won five of the last six meetings, including a narrow 75-74 victory last March. However, Rutgers is still the betting favorite in this spot due to their stronger home-court presence and defensive edge.


Key Matchups and Analysis

Minnesota’s Offense vs Rutgers’ Defense

  • Minnesota’s offense ranks 318th in points per game (68.2) — far below the league average of 73.2 PPG.
  • Rutgers' defense has been shaky, allowing 77.3 PPG — 318th nationally.
  • Minnesota shoots just 44.4% from the field (205th), but Rutgers is even worse at defending the shot, allowing opponents to shoot 46.2% (312th).

Rutgers' Offense vs Minnesota's Defense

  • Rutgers struggles to score early, averaging just 29.7 first-half points (340th) — worst in the Big Ten.
  • Minnesota allows 37.2 first-half points (5th) — giving them a significant edge in early-game defense.
  • Rutgers' rebounding advantage could play a key role — they average 32.4 rebounds per game to Minnesota's 30.1.

Pace and Turnover Battle

  • Minnesota protects the ball well, averaging just 10.6 turnovers per game (70th).
  • Rutgers' defense generates an average of 5.7 steals per game — but they're not overly aggressive.
  • Slow tempo from both teams could keep the scoring down.

Trends and Situational Angles

  • Minnesota is 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head matchups.
  • The Over has hit in 7 of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
  • Rutgers has struggled at home recently, going 3-8 SU in their last 11 home games.
  • Minnesota is 5-4 SU on the road this season — better than expected for a middle-of-the-pack Big Ten team.

Betting Pick and Prediction

Both teams have struggled to put up consistent offense, and Rutgers comes into this one off a demoralizing blowout loss to Purdue after a heartbreaker against Michigan. Minnesota has been more consistent in head-to-head matchups and tends to control the pace with solid defense early. Rutgers' offensive inconsistency — particularly in the first half — should keep this one low-scoring.

💡 Best Bet: Take the UNDER 143.5 — both teams' scoring struggles and pace of play point to a defensive battle.

📉 Prediction: Rutgers 68, Minnesota 64

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College Basketball Betting

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