Minnesota vs Rutgers Betting Picks & Prediction | Mar 9/25

Dylan Harper Rutgers Scarlett Knights

Get key betting insights for Minnesota vs Rutgers on March 9, including odds, analysis, and the best pick for this Big Ten matchup.


Game Details

Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-15 SU, 10-18-2 ATS) vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (14-16 SU, 14-15-1 ATS)

Big Ten Basketball

Date/Time: March 9, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Where: Jersey Mike's Arena – Piscataway, NJ

TV: Big Ten Network


Betting Odds

Point Spread: Rutgers -5.5 (-110) / Minnesota +5.5 (-110)

Money Line: Rutgers -235 / Minnesota +190

Over/Under Total: 143.5 (o -105 / u -115)


Game Overview

Minnesota and Rutgers square off in a Big Ten clash with both teams looking to finish the regular season on a positive note. Minnesota comes in at .500 on the season, but their 10-18-2 ATS record reflects how poorly they've performed against the number. Rutgers, meanwhile, has been slightly more reliable for bettors at 14-15-1 ATS, but they’ve struggled at home recently, going just 3-8 SU in their last 11 at Jersey Mike's Arena.

Minnesota won the last matchup on February 18, taking down Rutgers 81-70 as a 5.5-point favorite. The Gophers have won five of the last six meetings, including a narrow 75-74 victory last March. However, Rutgers is still the betting favorite in this spot due to their stronger home-court presence and defensive edge.


Key Matchups and Analysis

Minnesota’s Offense vs Rutgers’ Defense

  • Minnesota’s offense ranks 318th in points per game (68.2) — far below the league average of 73.2 PPG.
  • Rutgers' defense has been shaky, allowing 77.3 PPG — 318th nationally.
  • Minnesota shoots just 44.4% from the field (205th), but Rutgers is even worse at defending the shot, allowing opponents to shoot 46.2% (312th).

Rutgers' Offense vs Minnesota's Defense

  • Rutgers struggles to score early, averaging just 29.7 first-half points (340th) — worst in the Big Ten.
  • Minnesota allows 37.2 first-half points (5th) — giving them a significant edge in early-game defense.
  • Rutgers' rebounding advantage could play a key role — they average 32.4 rebounds per game to Minnesota's 30.1.

Pace and Turnover Battle

  • Minnesota protects the ball well, averaging just 10.6 turnovers per game (70th).
  • Rutgers' defense generates an average of 5.7 steals per game — but they're not overly aggressive.
  • Slow tempo from both teams could keep the scoring down.

Trends and Situational Angles

  • Minnesota is 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head matchups.
  • The Over has hit in 7 of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
  • Rutgers has struggled at home recently, going 3-8 SU in their last 11 home games.
  • Minnesota is 5-4 SU on the road this season — better than expected for a middle-of-the-pack Big Ten team.

Betting Pick and Prediction

Both teams have struggled to put up consistent offense, and Rutgers comes into this one off a demoralizing blowout loss to Purdue after a heartbreaker against Michigan. Minnesota has been more consistent in head-to-head matchups and tends to control the pace with solid defense early. Rutgers' offensive inconsistency — particularly in the first half — should keep this one low-scoring.

💡 Best Bet: Take the UNDER 143.5 — both teams' scoring struggles and pace of play point to a defensive battle.

📉 Prediction: Rutgers 68, Minnesota 64

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