Michigan Wolverines (19-5 SU, 11-13 ATS) vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (15-10 SU, 15-10 ATS)
When: Sunday, February 16, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Where: Value City Arena, Columbus, OH
TV: CBS
Betting Odds
Point Spread: Michigan +2.5 / Ohio State -2.5
Total: 150.5
Money Line: Michigan +123 / Ohio State -149
Notable Injuries
Michigan Wolverines
- No significant injuries reported.
Ohio State Buckeyes
- Meechie Johnson Jr. (Out) – Personal
- Taison Chatman (Out) – Knee
- Austin Parks (Questionable) – Undisclosed
Recent Form
Michigan Wolverines
The Wolverines are on a five-game winning streak, most recently edging out Purdue 75-73. Despite not covering the -3 spread, Michigan showcased resilience by overcoming a halftime deficit. Braden Smith led with 24 points, while Trey Kaufman-Renn added 22 points and seven rebounds. The team shot 44.6% from the field and 30.4% from three-point range.
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State dominated Washington 93-69 in their last outing, comfortably covering the -11 spread. The Buckeyes were hot from beyond the arc, shooting 61.1% on three-pointers. John Mobley Jr. and Micah Parrish each contributed 21 points, with Mobley hitting 5 of 7 threes. The team's effective field goal percentage stood at an impressive 69.1%.
Analysis
Michigan's offense has been efficient, averaging 81.4 points per game and shooting 49.1% from the field. Their defense allows 68.8 points per game, with opponents shooting 41.7%. However, the Wolverines have struggled against the spread, going 0-8 ATS in their last eight games and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games. Historically, they've found it challenging to secure wins in Columbus, with a 3-14 SU record in their last 17 games at Ohio State.
Ohio State boasts a strong home court presence, winning 14 of their last 17 home games against Michigan. The Buckeyes average 79.3 points per game, shooting 47.3% from the field, and allow 69.7 points per game defensively. They've been reliable against the spread, with a 13-7 ATS record against Big Ten opponents. Notably, the total has gone OVER in four of Ohio State's last five February games.
Betting Trends
- Michigan is 0-8 ATS in their last eight games.
- The total has gone UNDER in four of Michigan's last five games.
- Michigan is 5-0 SU in their last five games.
- Ohio State is 14-3 SU in their last 17 home games against Michigan.
- The total has gone OVER in four of Ohio State's last five games played in February.
Pick and Prediction
Despite Michigan's recent winning streak, their struggles against the spread and historical difficulties in Columbus cannot be overlooked. Ohio State's strong home performance and efficient offense make them a formidable opponent. Considering these factors, the Buckeyes are favored to cover the -2.5 spread.
Prediction: Ohio State 78, Michigan 74