Kansas Jayhawks (18-9 SU, 12-15 ATS) vs. Colorado Buffaloes (11-16 SU, 12-15 ATS)
Big 12 Basketball
Date/Time: February 24, 2025 – 11:00 PM ET
Where: CU Events Center, Boulder, CO
TV: TBD
Betting Odds (via BetMGM)
Point Spread: Kansas -7.5 (-105) | Colorado +7.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Kansas -275 | Colorado +225
Over/Under Total: 141.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Game Preview & Betting Analysis
The Kansas Jayhawks look to solidify their Big 12 standing when they travel to Boulder to face the struggling Colorado Buffaloes. Kansas enters the matchup at 18-9 SU (12-15 ATS) and has been dominant at home but shaky on the road (3-7 away record). Colorado, on the other hand, is reeling, sitting at 11-16 SU (12-15 ATS), winless in true road games (0-8) but respectable at home (10-6).
Kansas has had an up-and-down stretch lately, going 2-8 SU in their last 10 games, though they’ve fared better against the spread at 5-5 ATS. Their last outing was a 76-74 win over Baylor, covering as a 6-point underdog. Meanwhile, Colorado has been in a freefall, losing eight of their last 10 games, including a 71-59 loss at Kansas on February 11.
The Jayhawks’ road struggles will be a factor, but Colorado has been far from reliable, failing to cover in several key spots.
Key Matchups & Metrics
Kansas Offense vs. Colorado Defense
- Kansas: 76.1 PPG (#124), 47.3% FG (#52), 34.6% 3PT (#138)
- Colorado: 72.0 PPG allowed (#189), 43.3% FG allowed (#152), 33.8% 3PT allowed (#194)
Kansas is efficient offensively, ranking inside the top 60 in field goal percentage. They also rank 6th in the nation in both first-half (37.2 PPG) and second-half scoring (38.1 PPG), suggesting they control tempo. Colorado’s defense is below average, ranking outside the top 150 in FG% and 3PT defense. If Kansas executes offensively, they should find success scoring.
Colorado’s Struggles in Big 12 Play
- 0-8 on the road (10-6 home)
- Lost by 12 at Kansas on Feb 11 (71-59)
- Lost 8 of last 10 games
Despite their solid home record (10-6 SU), Colorado has been outmatched in Big 12 competition. The Buffaloes have been double-digit underdogs multiple times and struggled against upper-tier opponents. Their rebounding disadvantage (29.7 RPG, #94 vs. KU’s 35.3 RPG, #37) is a concern against Kansas, which could control the glass.
Betting Trends
- Kansas is just 3-7 ATS on the road, struggling to cover away from home.
- Colorado is 10-6 at home but is only 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games.
- The Under (141.5) has hit in 19 of Kansas’ 27 games (8-19 O/U).
- Kansas won the previous meeting 71-59 (Under 142.5 hit).
Betting Pick & Final Score Prediction
Kansas should win this game, but the Jayhawks’ poor road ATS record (3-7) raises some red flags when laying 7.5 points. Colorado, despite their struggles, has been relatively competitive ATS. The first matchup between these two ended 71-59, and both teams trend Under more often than not.
Given Kansas’ tendency to win without covering and both teams' defensive capabilities, the best play is Under 141.5.
